analysis 📊Ethereum ETH-->>USDT – 4H Technical Analysis🚀

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📊 Ethereum (ETH/USDT) – 4H Technical Analysis – 01.07.2025

Timeframe: 4H (shorter intervals such as 15min, 30min, and 1H available after unlocking Premium)
Exchange: Binance
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Every trade setup should be validated by your own analysis.

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🔍 Detailed Technical Overview

1. 📉 Trend Analysis

• Mid-Term Trend: Bearish

• Short-Term Trend: Neutral to Bearish (weak bounce with no strong breakout)

• After the drop from the ~$3,700–$4,000 area, ETH has been trading in a wide accumulation range, showing attempts to reclaim levels, but continues to be capped below $2,515.

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2. 🔻 Support Zones

• $2,390 – $2,410: Current price region; acting as minor support.

• $2,270 – $2,300: Historical consolidation and local bounce area.

• $2,140 – $2,180: Strong support with high volume node; important defense line.

• $1,520 – $1,600: Ultimate support – major macro demand.

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3. 🔺 Resistance Zones

• $2,515 – $2,550: Key short-term resistance, currently acting as a price ceiling.

• $2,930 – $2,950: Major mid-term resistance.

• $3,500 – $3,700: Long-term resistance with heavy price memory.

• $4,100: Breakout zone for macro bullish momentum.

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4. 📊 Volume Profile Insights

• POC (Point of Control): ~$2,515 — acts as a magnet and major resistance.

• Visible Range High-Volume Clusters: Around $2,900 and $3,700.

• Volume Gaps: Below $2,200, price could drop fast if $2,270 breaks.

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5. 📐 Market Structure & Patterns

• Price is still below the long-term descending trendline.

• Local breakout failed near $2,550, showing lack of strength.

• Multiple equal highs and equal lows visible → range trading structure.

• Potential for inverse head and shoulders forming in the $2,100–$2,500 range (needs confirmation).

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6. ⚙ Indicators & Momentum

• Price below SMA50 and SMA200 on 4H – bearish bias.

• Momentum is sideways; no strength behind recent candles.

• Buyers are defending ~$2,390, but volume on upswings is weaker than downswings.

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💡 Strategic Trade Ideas

🟢 Long Setup (Range Bounce Play)

• Entry Zone: $2,390 – $2,410

• Stop-Loss: Below $2,300 (range low invalidation)

• Take-Profits:

  • TP1: $2,515 (gap fill)

  • TP2: $2,700

  • TP3: $2,930 (mid-term resistance)

• Risk/Reward: Moderate

• Condition: Look for bullish engulfing or reclaim of $2,410 on 1H.

🔴 Short Setup (Failed Breakout + Retest)

• Entry Zone: $2,500 – $2,530 (if price rejects again)

• Stop-Loss: Above $2,550

• Take-Profits:

  • TP1: $2,390

  • TP2: $2,270

  • TP3: $2,180

• Risk/Reward: High if confirmed with volume rejection

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🧠 My Current Position & Thoughts

Personally, I would:

• Wait for confirmation around the $2,390 zone.

• If bulls defend it again → go long toward $2,515+.

• If that level fails with high sell volume → consider shorting toward $2,270 or even lower.

• Avoid opening positions mid-range without confirmation.

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