analysis Stellar XLM-->>USDT – 4H Technical Analysis

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🔍 General Overview

Stellar (XLM) is currently trading around $0.2217, showing early signs of stabilization after a prolonged downtrend. The asset has formed a local bottom around the $0.20 zone, where buyers are beginning to step in. Despite a recent bounce, XLM still faces multiple resistance levels above, making this a crucial moment to confirm whether a new uptrend can form. ⚙️

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📊 1. Trend Structure

• Primary trend: Bearish-to-neutral — XLM remains below key mid-term resistance zones.

• Short-term trend: Bullish recovery attempt — buyers defending $0.20–$0.21 and creating higher lows.

• Market structure: Range-bound between $0.20 and $0.25, currently testing the upper boundary of this range.

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📈 2. Key Support & Resistance Levels

Type	Price Level (USDT)	Description
🔴 Resistance	0.235 – 0.245	Major resistance; multiple rejections in this area
🔴 Resistance	0.265 – 0.280	Next key target if breakout occurs
🟢 Support	0.210 – 0.200	Strong local demand zone; defended several times
🟢 Support	0.185 – 0.175	Long-term structural support and bottom zone

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🧭 3. Indicators & Technical Context

• SMA 50: Price slightly above — suggesting short-term bullish bias.

• SMA 200: Still far above; needs to be reclaimed to confirm mid-term reversal.

• RSI: Recovering near the 55–60 range — showing mild bullish momentum.

• Volume: Picking up slowly, confirming that buyers are regaining interest after months of decline.

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🧩 4. Formations & Patterns

• Potential double-bottom pattern forming around $0.20 — neckline lies near $0.235.

• Breakout above the neckline could target $0.26–$0.28 in the medium term.

• The price also appears to be creating a rising channel, indicating gradual bullish control.

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💡 5. Market Sentiment

• Overall sentiment: Cautiously optimistic 💫

• Buyers are active in the $0.20–$0.21 zone, suggesting confidence that this may be the cycle’s short-term floor.

• Sentiment remains neutral overall, as many traders wait for confirmation above $0.235 before entering larger long positions.

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🎯 6. Example Trade Scenarios

⚠️ This is for educational purposes only — not financial advice.

➡️ Long Setup (bullish continuation idea):

• Entry: $0.220 – $0.223 (confirmation on 4H candle close)

• Stop-Loss: below $0.205

• Take-Profit 1: $0.235

• Take-Profit 2: $0.255

• Take-Profit 3 (extended): $0.275

• Risk/Reward: around 1:2.8

➡️ Short Setup (only if rejection occurs):

• Entry: $0.235 – $0.240 (watch for rejection candle or volume spike)**

• Stop-Loss: above $0.250

• Take-Profit: $0.210 – $0.200

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🧠 7. My Personal Take

At the moment, XLM looks like it’s forming a bottoming pattern. I’d personally look for a confirmed breakout above $0.235 to go long toward $0.26–$0.28.

If price drops below $0.205, it would invalidate the bullish setup, and I’d wait for another base to form around $0.18–$0.19.

The structure is constructive — accumulation appears underway — and patient buyers might get rewarded soon. 📈

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🏆 8. Premium Feature

This analysis is based on the 4-hour timeframe ⏰
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⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always perform your own independent research and apply strict risk management before entering any trade.