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This analysis is based on the 4-hour timeframe for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT). For access to even more precise and short-term setups, consider upgrading to a premium account for exclusive, lower timeframe analyses!


1. Current Market Structure & Trend

  • Price Action: BTC is currently trading around $109,547.99, showing a recent bounce from lower levels and a test of multiple resistance zones.

  • Trend: The market has experienced a strong upward movement followed by a sharp correction, indicating volatility and a possible shift in momentum.

  • Support & Resistance: Several horizontal support and resistance zones are clearly marked, with price currently sitting near a major resistance cluster.


2. Key Levels

Level Type Price Range (approx.)
Major Resistance 108,000 – 110,000
Intermediate Res. 104,000 – 106,000
Major Support 94,000 – 96,000
Intermediate Supp. 98,000 – 100,000
 
  • Current Price: $109,547.99

  • Immediate Resistance: $110,000

  • Immediate Support: $104,000, then $100,000, with a stronger base at $96,000


3. Chart Patterns & Formations

  • Double Top Formation: There is a potential double top forming near the $110,000 zone, which could signal a bearish reversal if confirmed by a breakdown below support

  • Projected Move: The marked blue and green lines suggest a possible retracement towards the $96,000–$98,000 support zone, followed by a potential bounce back up to $102,000–$104,000

  • Volatility: Recent price action shows long wicks and sharp moves, indicating high volatility and the likelihood of stop hunts.


4. Trading Sentiment & Strategy

  • Sentiment: The market is currently neutral to slightly bearish in the short term, with risk of a deeper correction if $104,000 support fails.

  • Best Play Right Now:

    • Short Position: Consider shorting near $109,500–$110,000 resistance, targeting $100,000–$98,000 with a stop loss above $111,000.

    • Long Position: Look for a bullish reversal pattern or strong bounce at $96,000–$98,000 support, targeting $102,000–$104,000, with a stop loss below $95,000.

  • Take Profits:

    • For shorts, take profit at $100,000 and $98,000.

    • For longs, take profit at $102,000 and $104,000.


5. Risk Management

  • Stop-Loss: Always use a stop-loss to manage risk. Suggested levels: above $111,000 for shorts, below $95,000 for longs.

  • Position Sizing: Adjust your position size according to your risk tolerance and account size.


6. Additional Observations

  • Liquidity Zones: The green bands highlight high liquidity areas where price is likely to react strongly.

  • Potential for Fakeouts: Given the recent volatility, be cautious of false breakouts above resistance or below support.

  • Momentum Indicators: While not shown, consider using RSI or MACD for additional confirmation on entries and exits.


This analysis is conducted on the 4-hour timeframe. For more detailed and faster trading signals, unlock premium access and get exclusive insights on lower timeframes!


Disclaimer:
This is not investment advice. Every trading decision should be made independently and based on your own research and risk assessment.

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